ACUS11 KWNS 290242
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 290242=20
MNZ000-290345-

Mesoscale Discussion 1469
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0942 PM CDT Fri Jun 28 2024

Areas affected...portions of northwestern Minnesota

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

Valid 290242Z - 290345Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

SUMMARY...A localized threat for mainly severe gusts and perhaps
hail will accompany a cluster of storms over northwestern MN for a
couple more hours. Given the localized nature of the severe threat,
a WW issuance is not needed.

DISCUSSION...A persistent cluster of thunderstorms has intensified
over the past hour, with a measured 72 mph wind gust recently
reported. This thunderstorm cluster is rapidly translating eastward
amid a marginally buoyant but adequately sheared environment
(elongated hodographs and accompanying 50 kts of effective bulk
shear). The severe threat should be confined to this small storm
cluster, and the duration of these storms may be temporally limited
by increasing MLCINH. Nonetheless, a couple more severe gusts cannot
be ruled out. Given the brief, localized nature of the severe
threat, a WW issuance is not needed.

..Squitieri/Smith.. 06/29/2024

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7DPBUANVo3bD90KlGBhIPVT26j1XPV4s-eXS7ZeJvyvExG4pDr6585xX99nOETdnV98mAAJdU= JVB_p6vXcLWEjbxiyQ$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...FGF...

LAT...LON 47029530 47139613 47339659 47589677 47899668 47959560
47389411 46999433 47029530=20


=3D =3D =3D
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