• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1219

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Mon Jun 9 09:15:33 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 090914
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 090913=20
    LAZ000-TXZ000-091045-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1219
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0413 AM CDT Mon Jun 09 2025

    Areas affected...portions of central to southeast Texas

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 400...

    Valid 090913Z - 091045Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 400
    continues.

    SUMMARY...An isolated severe wind threat will persist for the next 1
    to 2 hours across parts of central Texas into southeast Texas.

    DISCUSSION...Convection has mostly weakened along the southward
    moving outflow boundary from southeast Texas into southern
    Louisiana. On the western periphery of the outflow boundary, across
    central Texas, stronger storms have persisted amid stronger
    instability and steeper mid-level lapse rates. Some stronger inbound
    velocities are present from the KGRK WSR-88D which could result in
    isolated severe wind reports. While additional strengthening of
    these storms appears unlikely, the environment should support some
    maintenance of ongoing storms with a continued threat for isolated
    severe wind gusts.=20

    Farther east along the the outflow boundary, additional convection
    has started to develop across southeast Texas and southwest
    Louisiana. It is unclear whether these storms will be severe, but
    watch 400 will be maintained across this region despite the warm
    700mb temperatures, in case a few severe storms develop. Severe wind
    gusts from wet microbursts will likely be the primary threat from
    this activity.

    ..Bentley.. 06/09/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5RV0zPM2ur2ETxbMZnSumUjUJ4LoJC-HNCePebXWA0f7OKU7gjtiFrjYGsoFtUExX3QryD6Oy= nJw3P3JDvdckFqnyXY$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LCH...HGX...FWD...EWX...

    LAT...LON 31529782 31369682 30899480 30939395 30989341 30719293
    30299299 30089341 29949526 30049642 30219740 30359778
    30569814 31049842 31529782=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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