ACUS11 KWNS 092340
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092339=20
NMZ000-100115-

Mesoscale Discussion 1233
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0639 PM CDT Mon Jun 09 2025

Areas affected...portions of eastern New Mexico

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 403...

Valid 092339Z - 100115Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 403
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe hail and wind remain possible with ongoing storms
approaching eastern NM. Later this evening, upscale growth into an
MCS, with southeastward propagation, is possible.

DISCUSSION...Several multicells and occasional supercells have
developed over the past few hours, with an instance of significant
severe (2.5 inches) already observed. Additional instances of severe
hail/wind may occur as storms continue to move and/or develop
eastward into eastern NM, where 30+ kts of effective bulk shear and
1500 J/kg MLCAPE reside. The western extent of a diffuse outflow
boundary from yesterday's severe episode in TX extends to the TX/NM
border area. If current storm congeal into an MCS, it is near this
boundary that storms will propagate later this evening, perhaps
accompanied by continued severe wind potential.

..Squitieri.. 06/09/2025

...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!4IXk7luwdGIPaWti3S2j4cugDsyvTHqyl4rQ85tss6zP0vgDvJ6NMHts-LrYdDu35MVJ4unJn= Dlw-EmVfmvV9K4JJY0$ for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...

LAT...LON 33080527 34540581 35550562 36440443 36570359 36310332
34990329 34000330 33390350 32980404 33080527=20

MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


=3D =3D =3D
To unsubscribe from WX-STORM and you already have a login, go to https://lists.illinois.edu and use the "Unsubscribe" link. Otherwise email Chris Novy at cnovy@cox.net and ask to be removed from WX-STORM.

--- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux
* Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (1:2320/105)